State Capture Saga: Zuma Won’t Survive The End Of This Year – Analyst Fortells


The heat in the presidential house has intensified with Zuma being almost burnt out bringing his tenure in office to a near end.

A political analyst foretells that Zuma won’t survive being SA president till the end of the year 2016.

The year which is about to end in less than two months would be the most crucial for all South Africans, especially, Jacob Zuma who has been pierced from all sides.

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This week is indeed the worst for Zuma since he took over office, with several reversals in the courts; a growing number of calls for his resignation from all quarters and the release of a damning report on state capture by former public protector Thuli Madonsela.

Considering all these, a political analyst says the writing is on the wall for Zuma with his power base dwindling, but he’s unlikely to throw in the towel.

The analyst, Duvenhage, said Zuma is unlikely to survive the end of the year and those who have been supporting Zuma throughout his troubles also have a lot to lose.

“The Zuma regime is crumbling and I think the end of Zuma is likely to happen not later than the end of this year, Zuma won’t survive.

“The survival of the Zuma loyalists depends on Zuma keeping his influential position. The outcome of the state capture hearing indicated that, even in a judicial context, the momentum has gone against Zuma, while society is going through a pre­revolutionary stage which the state itself can no longer manage,” he said.

“We have witnessed intensified pressure on Zuma, which started in parliament recently when the ANC’s chief whip, Jackson Mthembu, called on the entire leadership to step down. While Zuma will be forced out at some stage, he will not go down without a fight,” Duvenhage added.

Another political analyst who spoke on the fate of the president following all that has been going on echoed Duvenhage saying its likely Zuma won’t survive next year as he has now realised his power base is dwindling.

“I think he is now assessing the strength of his support, including within the alliance, following the announcement by Cosatu affiliate Nehawu this week that a decision was taken at an ordinary national executive meeting calling for Zuma to step down.

“However, I don’t think the president is likely to throw in the towel as yet because the stakes are too high, considering his court cases,” he said.

The ANC, which seems already weary of the problems posed to them following series of Zuma’s wrong doings, said when the state capture report was released, that it took note of the report and indicated it would study it — but the party faces an arduous road ahead.

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The party is already on the back-foot electorally and a further lengthy legal process by Zuma and ministers implicated in the report will keep the issue of state capture prominent in the public debate as the 2019 national election approaches.