DA Could Conquer ANC In Tshwane And Nelson Mandela Bay Elections


The forth coming elections have seen political parties being very defiant in their approach to conquer the ruling party in almost all municipalities before finally getting to the top. Interestingly, a new report revealed that the Democratic Alliance DA could be getting ahead of others taking control of most municipalities especially Tshwane and Nelson Mandela.

Following report from polls survery by Ipsos and eNCA, the wind of public sentiment have continued to sway between ANC, DA and EFF  especially across the most hotly-contested metros ahead of the 2016 municipal elections.

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The August 3 election is expected to be wrestled out by the three main political parties especially in the country’s metros. This includes EFF which is participating in municipal elections for the first time However, the polls postulates that the DA could take control of Nelson Mandela Bay and Tshwane after this year’s municipal election.

The polls surveyed a demographically representative group of people made up of adults across all racial groups (majority black – 74%) between the ages of 18 and over 50, from low to middle income households.

It also revealed that although the ANC could still retain the City of Johannesburg‚ the DA could conquer the ANC should they enter into a coalition with other parties.

According to the polls in Nelson Mandela Bay‚ 34% of participants said they will vote DA‚ 30% ANC and 7% for the EFF but 21% are still yet to decided on which party to give their votes to.

The polls reported that compared to the 2014 polls, the 2016 polls revealed a likely shift of power from the ruling party. It says the ANC is losing support across all three metros, the DA is showing consistent growth in support across all metro while the EFF is showing more muted support, but it growing.

The margin between the ANC and DA in Tshwane is wider but a total of 33% of people who were surveyed confirm the DA as their choice‚ while the ANC secured 28%. Only 10% said they would vote EFF‚ while the remaining 17% of potential voters were undecided.

Most participants of the survey expressed negative sentiments towards the Inkatha Freedom Party (IFP)‚ the Congress of the People (COPE) and the EFF.

Meanwhile, Ipsos director and political analyst Mari Harris explained that participants were first asked how they felt about political parties as they would not want to rush people with the voting question immediately.

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Meanwhile, another political analyst Elvis Masoga said some voters could be regarding Cope and EFF as parties of power-mongers.

“People are reluctant to associate with splinter formations because they do not trust defectors‚” he said.

“Politicians who defect are regarded as those who do not want to be led and it is for that reason that they form their own parties.” he said as he denied that the EFF’s plan to grab land was the reason for the negative sentiments.

“There is a huge hunger for land in this country and the majority of people support a view that land should be returned‚” he said.

However,Masoga said the IFP could be viewed negatively because it was associated with political violence previously.

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